Election Observations

On tea leaves, elite realignments, preference cascades, and the need to maintain mental and emotional flexibility

Donald Trump’s electoral victory has taken place as I foresaw with increasing clarity at some point after October 7, 2023. Nothing special about me or my perspective prepared me for this, only mere data points which I collated in my mind. I have been post-ideology for several years, which has made my mind much more capable of parsing political data agnostically. I’m not precisely sure when it happened, but at some point during the first Trump administration I was first able to explain coherently that all I care about are good outcomes for people who I like, and not the charts and graphs about the best way to get there. I am a follower of Christ, and have no gods before the triune God, therefore that’s where I need to get my morality, not from politics, or the world. Economics and ideology are spooks when untethered from outcomes.

Perhaps the most useful rubric of the past several years is that of Team A and Team B, a shorthand coined by legendarily insightful-yet-testy poaster JudgeDread, for what is often referred to as the Uniparty, the once-seemingly-united and -invincible monolith which so nakedly did the thing in 2020. Team A, an arbitrary label for the most virtulently anti-White and short-sighted segment of that monolith, want what is essentially a Bolshevik GNC revolution Right Nao, legitimacy and future survival be damned. The watermelon environmentalists, commies, blegs, anarchists, Aztecans, antifa, weewee-choppers, parasites, obese bluehairs, Bette Midlers (drink!) and Tim Wises of the world will destroy the Kulaks via any means necessary. Team B, on the other hand, represents the GOPe, the Zionists, the Chamber of Commerce, Nikki Hayley, Ben Shapiro, George W. Bush, and so on, who want the Kulaks to finance, build, and maintain the status quo slow deteriorization of America as well as to send the Kulaks’ White sons into whichever meat grinder war to save Israel is put into motion.

It didn’t quite work out that way. You can’t behave as blatantly as the collective Team A and Team B have in the past few decades, increasing to a fever pitch during COVID and the 2020/1 election, without people noticing and taking offense in growing numbers. It was not just the fringe who caught on and recognized what was taking place before their eyes, nor could this monolith’s crumbling edifice of legitimacy persist.

When individual elites feel the boot on their necks, they have the means to lash out in ways that really move the needle; when they unite with the common people, great forces with powerful sway can be mobilized. Teams A and B pushed apart from one another, as did sub-factions within those teams, due to the following fracture points:

• Economic downward spiral

• Crime

• The COVID scheme

• Ukraine war

• ME struggles

• "Your children have no future"

• The Bidanmans / Kamala switcheroo

All factions are assembled from disparate groups which can be divided when their divisions are more powerful than the things which bring them together. This has happened before our very eyes.

A Noticing

The first sign I saw of this split was after October 7, when CNN evidenced highly inconsistent reporting upon the constant series of Hamas Al-Yasin Armor Kills To Study and Relax To reaction videos to israel’s razing of Palestine.

Apparently, these videos upset some people, while others find them excellent soundtracks for a positive and productive day.

While at my gym, observing tha TeeVee, I saw serious divisions, up to rather aggressive attacks upon Stuttering Wee-Todd Pres’dent and his administration, and even talk from various characters, particularly “He’s Still Going To Get Van(ned)” Jones, known black Bolshevik and Obama operative who tugs the DNC farther left at all times, who hinted at the fractures and inability of the party to deal with the onrushing forces of The Chuds, headed by Punished former President Donald J. Trump.

Of course, talk of this subject among the right was particularly challenging, as decades of psyops and unrelenting demoralization had left us and our friends vulnerable and jaded. The most potent and valid right wing criticism of Donald Trump has been his first administration. The second is the allegation that the Uniparty would just make whatever They wanted happen, or that anything that happens is because They want it to.

However, I saw other moves taking place from the right which scrambled my earlier assumptions - which I came to realize were genuinely ideological, and perhaps even an ideology of the demoralized. When one examines world-changing events, acts of God aside, elites are involved. When elites make moves counter to trends and your assumptions, particularly when they upset other elites, you should take notice. Musk, Prince, Dimon, Powell… the list went on. While there were valid criticisms from observers, my instincts shook me deeply and cried out that they were wrong. I began casting about for explanations but felt comfortable enough to do what all Very Online people such as myself enjoy doing - proclaiming our keenness of insight and making a prediction. I gave it 50/50 around New Years 2024, which was met with much doom-saying. “They will just steal the election again” and “Trump is a jewish puppet” were the most popular responses from people who don’t organize or even leave the house.

Soonafter I stumbled upon a conversation between my now-pal Pete Quiñones and Kingpilled regarding elite theory and discussing the very patterns I was seeing. I remembered Pete from some book readings I’d enjoyed the previous year. There were others! I went into their archives, and conversations with other folks, and expanded my reach into the world of people who were sympatico but also seeing the things I was seeing. In private conversations with Pete, while discussing topics other than my own research into the Spanish Civil War, he suggested the content of several other people, and areas to research which had been helpful to him.

By June it was obvious that Trump had a major force behind him, all for their own reasons, but most relevantly, what mattered was not data but an emotional relief I’ve felt for some time, a confidence in the future, not necessarily that total victory is right around the corner, but that struggle is how coherent, powerful, and world-changing movements coalesce and arise, and that I got to be a part of that. I know it’s kooky, but I leave the house, talk to people, and build real things with those real people, and am constantly engaging with new people of the highest quality. My research into right wing organizing during the Spanish Civil War, as well as that of the anarchist CNT-FAI, screamed out to me - patterns exist which were proven across disparate political organizations only a century prior, and could be leveraged lawfully legally for making real-world change. The era of passive observation and 20th century civics are dead; this is war. Arise!

I posted the below on Gab in mid-October, much to the chagrin of the usual defectives, but it resonated powerfully with friends and allies.

I'm going to push my clout chips into the center of the table

When Trump is anointed next month by the powers that be (90% likelihood by my reckoning; recall that I'd pegged it at 50% in Nov/Dec '23) after a nasty "election," some portion of the dissident sphere will tear itself apart, worse than had Kamala been appointed in a brutally heavy-handed, naked, televised steal (again)

Why? There are wolves in sheep's clothing, to be sure, but an awful lot of it will be people lashing out in anger and frustration (due to concerns I share) at the only people who will listen to them (for a short time)

There are also people, pro-Trump or otherwise, whose brains are completely broken and are 100% sure that their enemies always win, and it happens in ways they can predict (tho it took them by surprise in 2020 and changed their worldview), so they will lose it and descend into super insane online kosher conspiracy black holes

A small portion of mostly older people will think things are back to normal; they'll continue to be worthless. We'll continue to ignore them

The shitposters and serious critics will continue to play their important role of pushing discourse rightward

Immigration/Deportation and the JQ, particularly as it relates to who dictates US government policy, will come to define online discourse across broad swathes of the population. We are on the crest of a preference cascade and you will see unimaginable alliances between actually *relevant* groups on these topics, not just the current fringe

Most importantly, I think that enough smart people who matter will begin networking between various hard right factions to form alliances and to focus on both alternative structures - since I predict that the mainstream will be even *worse* for some time - as well as identifying areas of opportunity in the future

Additionally: there will *not* be a rush by normie conservatives to push White boys into the military for a meatgrinder war in the Middle East. That ship has fucking sailed

I'm not going to predict X, then Y scenarios beyond the description above. Things are too wacky right now

I also believe that, should the usual suspects too blatantly attempt a blatant steal again, or refuse to give up the White House, there will be severe consequences for them

Whatever happens, prominent libtards will be very, very dangerous

This is a time where neuroplasticity is needed. Stay flexible and stay frosty

The Preference Cascade

When people normalcy-post, and speak of Trump lulling Americans back to sleep, they are expressing legitimate concerns, but those concerns belong to another age. It’s not 1982 - this is war, and war to the (metaphorical, lawfully legal) knife, knife to the hilt. The (metaphorical, lawfully legal) bloodlust of the average person you speak to is both heartening and awe-inspiring. Doomsayers should leave their homes and interact with these people, who cry out for a leader, not only to follow, but to do their bidding. This is the expression of an old spirit, a spirit which doesn’t worry about internet clout and being ideologically correct. The Nothing Ever Happens brigade believes that because nothing ever happens in their lives.

The vibe has changed. The spirit of the age has passed. Theo Von performed a live, onscreen Early Life check on the "money lizard Sackler family" with the next Vice President of the United States and some of you are fucking blackpilling.